The next general elections are few months away. The presidential contest will be interesting, with biggest competitors being ODM leader Raila Odinga and Deputy President Dr. William Ruto. From the appearance of the political landscape currently Raila is getting weaker and if ceteris paribus, he will be defeated or narrowly win.
Raila does not need any introduction to Kenyan politics, he understands it better than many politicians in this country. He is political father to some politicians.
Making Raila weaker is a task that is being aided by some cabals known as ‘deep state’, this is according to some tweets by Digital Guru Dennis Itumbi.
Raila’s strongholds are tired of his candidature and his credential reforms are no longer resonating well with the people since the birth of the handshake.
The first task that the senile Raila should deal with is to dismantle himself from the Jubilee regime’s baggage. How will he do that and he want President Uhuru Kenyatta’s support in the next year’s elections.
Kenyans have been told and appreciated those who fought for the liberation, it’s now time for an economic nirvana not stories. Handshake besmirched these credentials.
The death of the NASA coalition has reduced Raila to size.
Wiper party leader Kalonzo Musyoka and his ANC counterpart Musalia Mudavadi have always ruled out the possibility of playing the second fiddle and will not support Raila since they will also be in the ballot.
This means Raila will not harvest the votes from Ukambani region and Western Region as he did in the previous elections.
This is now exacerbated by the possibility of Cabinet Secretary for the Ministry of Interior and Coordination of National Government Fred Matiang’i declaring his bid as a presidential aspirant. This means Raila will not get the votes he has been getting from Gusii people.
In Luo Nyanza Migori Governor Okoth Obado is also likely to walk away with good number of votes and deliver them to Deputy President.
Coastal region through Amason Kingi is considering forming its political party.
In Mt Kenya region the former Prime Minister has been demonized though lately he has been trying to penetrate the region.
If Raila won’t harvest votes from all these regions then he will go to the ballot as bruised and a weaker candidate compared to before.